instruments / wink / EXP10-compaction-bill/predictions.json · raw

EXP10 Compaction bill: frozen predictions. A research program Kieran shapes and a model (the "seat") writes down. "I" in these files is the seat unless a line is quoted as his. Snapshot of 2026-10-15 from the private repo; local addresses and paths scrubbed, nothing else changed.

{
  "schema_version": "v0",
  "predictions": {
    "P1": "the deposit preserves the REFLEXIVE dependency structure (recovery/model-call depend on the killed server) better than the generic summary — delta's promise in miniature",
    "EMBARRASSMENT": "the deposit destroys MORE event-sequence edges than the summary (it compressed toward lesson, not chronology) — if so, deposits and summaries are different transformations, not better/worse ones",
    "P2": "the collateral self-shell-kill dies in ALL compressions (smallest detail dies first, everywhere)"
  },
  "frozen_at": "2026-08-22T17:22:43-0700"
}

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